UK house price predictions?

General chat topics, anything and everything you want or need to discuss
Asian Boss
Posts: 1801
Joined: Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:52 pm
Has thanked: 498 times
Been thanked: 650 times

UK house price predictions?

Post by Asian Boss »

Any thoughts for the next 1-3 years? It's just thoughts, I know.

I will probably sell my house and buy a bigger one with my g/f in the next couple of years. If house prices are about to drop, it could make sense for me to sell my place now. I have somewhere else I could live in the interim.
To a kid looking up to me, life ain't nothing but bitches and money.
User avatar
Skub
Posts: 12167
Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:32 pm
Location: Norn Iron
Has thanked: 9829 times
Been thanked: 10145 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Skub »

Houses are selling really quickly and for top prices at the moment,I can't see that being sustainable for much longer. Already mortgage lenders are refusing borrowers/hiking rates etc.

Strike while the iron is hot.

Or stay with what is more affordable and ride out the coming storm.
"Be kind to past versions of yourself that didn't know what you know now."
Walt Whitman
https://soundcloud.com/skub1955
User avatar
Count Steer
Posts: 11816
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2021 4:59 pm
Has thanked: 6378 times
Been thanked: 4756 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Count Steer »

Asian Boss wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 7:51 pm Any thoughts for the next 1-3 years? It's just thoughts, I know.

I will probably sell my house and buy a bigger one with my g/f in the next couple of years. If house prices are about to drop, it could make sense for me to sell my place now. I have somewhere else I could live in the interim.
That is a bit of a game changer. If you can sell reasonably promptly, break the chain and keep things simple, selling now seems v advantageous. Can't find anyone (in the housing market/mortgage world) that thinks house prices are going down by less than 10% in 2023.

Only thing is...if you have a fixed rate mortgage now, what will the rate be if you need to borrow for the next, bigger place?
Doubt is not a pleasant condition.
But certainty is an absurd one
.
Voltaire
JackyJoll
Posts: 3730
Joined: Sun May 03, 2020 10:11 pm
Has thanked: 261 times
Been thanked: 1265 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by JackyJoll »

Asian Boss wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 7:51 pm buy a bigger one with my g/f
Bigger houses are not that cheap, yet.
User avatar
wull
Posts: 3065
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2021 6:09 pm
Location: Alloa
Has thanked: 880 times
Been thanked: 1544 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by wull »

It’s crazy how quickly they sell at the moment. Every house that goes up for sale in our area sell within days, even ones that require a lot of work and modernisation inside.
Kneerly Down
Posts: 719
Joined: Wed Apr 22, 2020 11:30 am
Has thanked: 164 times
Been thanked: 308 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Kneerly Down »

I'm not sure second-guessing house prices is a particularly gratifying pursuit.
You could say they'll go down because interest rates are going up, or that they'll go up because inflation and nominal wage growth is high.
Somewhere between they'll go up a lot and down a lot will probably be the actual change! ;)

I'm mildly of the opinion that the energy-fuelled inflation will ease off and then there'll be a bit of a lag on the general inflation rate drop as the prior energy inflation works its way through wages and general goods.
At that point the interest rates will probably wind down (after having gone up in the meantime) back to c.2% or thereabouts.

Without a massive housebuilding programme there'll still be a general shortage so I don't expect house prices to be all that different to where they are now, albeit with a bit of upside from inflation tempered with the settling of interest rates higher than they have been in recent times.

So, my prediction, first line of this post notwithstanding...not much change to now. :)
User avatar
Horse
Posts: 11557
Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:30 am
Location: Always sunny southern England
Has thanked: 6193 times
Been thanked: 5087 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Horse »

Skub wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:03 pm Houses are selling really quickly and for top prices at the moment,I can't see that being sustainable for much longer.
That depends very much on where in the country. The bubble has long burst in the south west and it's already spreading up the country.
Skub wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:03 pm Or stay with what is more affordable and ride out the coming storm.
If you can afford two mortgages and the costs of two homes now, then you should be ok if interest and fuel go silly high.

Just don't get her pregnant, then have to survive on minimal wages with all the other costs ;)
Even bland can be a type of character :wave:
User avatar
Cousin Jack
Posts: 4458
Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:36 pm
Location: Down in the Duchy
Has thanked: 2552 times
Been thanked: 2286 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Cousin Jack »

I reckon that you need to move fast. Cheap mortgages are gone, and everyone is scared of Bank Rate + ones. Make a cheeky offer now and they will snatch your arm off, assuming you can move fast.
Cornish Tart #1

Remember An Gof!
User avatar
Trinity765
Posts: 2321
Joined: Fri Nov 06, 2020 2:27 pm
Location: Brighton
Has thanked: 2442 times
Been thanked: 2398 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Trinity765 »

I got three valuations on my Mum's house for probate. It's situated in a popular location - close to everything but on a no-through-route, quite, 1930s art-deco estate of semi-bungalows. All valuations came in exactly the same. We put it on the market on Thursday and the first person to view it, yesterday, offered the asking price. After talking to the estate agent, we're continuing with the viewings that are planned for today in case someone offers more or has quicker access to the money/no chain - not that probate has gone through yet. The estate agent told me house prices had dropped during the week and their phone hadn't stopped ringing with people asking questions that they didn't have the answers to.

I'm no expert but I feel an urgency to sell it as prices are very unlikely to increase. For an insight into the housing market - I'll keep you posted.
Kneerly Down
Posts: 719
Joined: Wed Apr 22, 2020 11:30 am
Has thanked: 164 times
Been thanked: 308 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Kneerly Down »

Up this way, properties used to stay on the market for about a year before being sold.
Bigger properties could take much longer.

One of the local 'castles' went on the market very recently and, apparently, has sold within 8 days and for way above the asking price.
It has somewhat more rooms and land than mine, but does prompt some thought on whether our house is our 'retirement house' :o

Scottish castle sold in eight days as price soars beyond £2.85m asking price
Mussels
Posts: 4441
Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 9:02 pm
Has thanked: 836 times
Been thanked: 1239 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Mussels »

Certain towns up north are having a boom at the moment due to wealthy refugees from Hong Kong moving over so knowing your area is important.
Greenman
Posts: 1740
Joined: Fri May 01, 2020 10:05 pm
Has thanked: 209 times
Been thanked: 403 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Greenman »

Property is booming in Bristol. Ive made 32% on my property less than 2 miles from the centre in 3 years.

Hopefully prices won't drop too much as i have all my money tied up in this place. I can't just flippantly sell it for profit as my house is a place i call home* and not just bricks and mortar!












*and smash out techno and dub all night!!!
David
Posts: 2134
Joined: Tue Mar 17, 2020 8:50 am
Location: Top 'o the Worle
Has thanked: 218 times
Been thanked: 689 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by David »

Montpellier or St Paul's?
Ant
Posts: 1905
Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:57 pm
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 227 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Ant »

Greenman wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:05 pm Property is booming in Bristol. Ive made 32% on my property less than 2 miles from the centre in 3 years.
You Tory!
User avatar
Taipan
Posts: 13949
Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:48 pm
Location: Essex Riviera!
Has thanked: 15959 times
Been thanked: 10248 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Taipan »

Greenman wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:05 pm Property is booming in Bristol. Ive made 32% on my property less than 2 miles from the centre in 3 years.

Hopefully prices won't drop too much as i have all my money tied up in this place. I can't just flippantly sell it for profit as my house is a place i call home* and not just bricks and mortar!












*and smash out techno and dub all night!!!

;) :lol:

Image
Kneerly Down
Posts: 719
Joined: Wed Apr 22, 2020 11:30 am
Has thanked: 164 times
Been thanked: 308 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Kneerly Down »

Greenman wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:05 pm Property is booming in Bristol. Ive made 32% on my property less than 2 miles from the centre in 3 years.
*and smash out techno and dub all night!!!
Have your neighbours' property values dropped substantially since you moved in 3 years ago? ;)
Mussels
Posts: 4441
Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 9:02 pm
Has thanked: 836 times
Been thanked: 1239 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Mussels »

Taipan wrote: Sun Oct 02, 2022 2:13 pm
Greenman wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:05 pm Property is booming in Bristol. Ive made 32% on my property less than 2 miles from the centre in 3 years.

Hopefully prices won't drop too much as i have all my money tied up in this place. I can't just flippantly sell it for profit as my house is a place i call home* and not just bricks and mortar!












*and smash out techno and dub all night!!!

;) :lol:

Image
Give him a chance, he might be planning to redistribute his new wealth to those less well off.
cheb
Posts: 4908
Joined: Tue Mar 17, 2020 6:51 am
Been thanked: 2618 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by cheb »

Taipan wrote: Sun Oct 02, 2022 2:13 pm
Greenman wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:05 pm Property is booming in Bristol. Ive made 32% on my property less than 2 miles from the centre in 3 years.

Hopefully prices won't drop too much as i have all my money tied up in this place. I can't just flippantly sell it for profit as my house is a place i call home* and not just bricks and mortar!












*and smash out techno and dub all night!!!

;) :lol:

Image
If I wore tee shirts with pictures on them that would be one I'd buy.
Mussels
Posts: 4441
Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 9:02 pm
Has thanked: 836 times
Been thanked: 1239 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Mussels »

I'm trying to work out if I can make that picture appear when my wife calls me.
Edit: found it. 👍
User avatar
Pirahna
Posts: 1946
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2020 7:31 pm
Has thanked: 1816 times
Been thanked: 1164 times

Re: UK house price predictions?

Post by Pirahna »

Mussels wrote: Sun Oct 02, 2022 6:04 pm I'm trying to work out if I can make that picture appear when my wife calls me.
Edit: found it. 👍
When my wife calls the ringtone is a chicken clucking.