Re: The Self-Driving Vehicles Thread
Posted: Wed Apr 14, 2021 10:36 pm
Oh, and on driver monitoring, there may well eventually be systems like that in all cars, watching for tired drivers.
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How will it do that? Having hands on the wheel and looking ahead is no good, what is required is a brain monitoring system to ensure the driver is actually monitoring the situation in real time. And that is probably more difficult that creating a Level 5 car that doesn't need monitoring.Horse wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:23 pm See earlier in the thread. Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
So what’s the point and where’s the benefit?Horse wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:23 pm See earlier in the thread. Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
Spin's challenge was 'what of the driver's asleep?' In which case, driver is less likely to be looking ahead and holding the wheelCousin Jack wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 10:57 pmHow will it do that? Having hands on the wheel and looking ahead is no good, what is required is a brain monitoring system to ensure the driver is actually monitoring the situation in real time. And that is probably more difficult that creating a Level 5 car that doesn't need monitoring.Horse wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:23 pm See earlier in the thread. Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
For ordinary drivers on ordinary roads, I don't know. I'm not an evangelist for these systems, just answering the challenges where I can.wheelnut wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:46 pmSo what’s the point and where’s the benefit?Horse wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:23 pm See earlier in the thread. Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
Now we've taken back control we won't have to follow those namby-pamby rules. Survival of the fittest (well richest....)Horse wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:23 pm
See earlier in the thread. Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
How can it tell? Does it have some kind of state-of-mind metre to determine whether or not the driver will focus for the trip?Horse wrote: Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:23 pm
See earlier in the thread. Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
https://techcrunch-com.cdn.ampproject.o ... twork/amp/Horse wrote: Tue Apr 13, 2021 3:49 pm I think that, several times, I've said that the implementation most likely is first/last mile shuttle bus services.
Having just added the previous post, I've noticed that my previous answer never made it to the board.The Spin Doctor wrote: Thu Apr 15, 2021 5:57 pmHow can it tell?
The driver could simply be gazing out a side window at the scenery.
As you know from the Startle Effect posts and the No Surprise! approach, handing control back to someone who's not expecting to have to 'fly the plane' often ends in disaster.
I know all about that. There have been 'nudge' systems to refocus a driver for at least a decade. Falling asleep at the wheel - according to some research done about fifteen years back - causes three times as many crashes as alcohol, so there are systems that monitor blink rate and sound a klaxon to wake a driver up. And there are breath test lockout devices to stop someone who's had one too many from starting a journey in the first place.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:51 am
Having just added the previous post, I've noticed that my previous answer never made it to the board.
So take 2. But briefer than before.
How can it tell? Umpteen options, including head direction, eye direction, blink rate. Here's one system already installed by fleets.
https://www.exeros-technologies.com/sol ... on-system/
FWIW I think that may be part of future regs too, although not just blink rate.The Spin Doctor wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 10:32 am Falling asleep at the wheel - according to some research done about fifteen years back - causes three times as many crashes as alcohol, so there are systems that monitor blink rate and sound a klaxon to wake a driver up.
As I've said before, about other comments, the assumption seems to be that none of this has occurred to the developers, or that they're ignoring it. Do you really think that? [And, as I've also said before, UK not anywhere else in the world]The Spin Doctor wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 10:32 am But we're talking about a very different situation - as I am bloody certain you know very well indeed - and that's refocusing someone who isn't currently focused, to be able to take control.
You have to become alert, then analyse the situation, then decide what you're going to do about it. That takes seconds.
And as my recent posts on the Startle Effect show, we don't have seconds.
Either the vehicle is entirely reliable as an autonomous vehicle... or you let the driver drive with aids. The half-way house that says "nope, I'm not programmed for this, you have a go" is bonkers.
Tesla.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:30 am As I've said before, about other comments, the assumption seems to be that none of this has occurred to the developers, or that they're ignoring it. Do you really think that? [And, as I've also said before, UK not anywhere else in the world]
Autopilot and Full Self-Driving Capability are intended for use with a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment. While these features are designed to become more capable over time, the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous.The Spin Doctor wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:34 amTesla.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:30 am As I've said before, about other comments, the assumption seems to be that none of this has occurred to the developers, or that they're ignoring it. Do you really think that? [And, as I've also said before, UK not anywhere else in the world]
Horse wrote: Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.
Circular argument.Horse wrote: Autopilot and Full Self-Driving Capability are intended for use with a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.
IIRC Teslas have a detection system, although drivers are obviously able to circumvent it.The Spin Doctor wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 5:39 pmHorse wrote: Forthcoming vehicle regs (if the uk decide to parallel the EU) will monitor the driver and won't allow the vehicle to self-drive if the driver isn't able to take back control.Circular argument.Horse wrote: Autopilot and Full Self-Driving Capability are intended for use with a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.
Clearly, the cars ARE out there on the road MINUS the systems that protect the driver AND other road users.
To clarify, I meant what the vehicle is designed to do. That said, we have plenty of instances (riders in bends?) where the vehicle operators run out of talent.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:57 pm But it's nothing new for drivers to use vehicles beyond their capabilities.
Even that apparent improvement has been challenged. Eg risk compensation from safer vehicles having adverse effects on vulnerable road users.Cousin Jack wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 6:00 pm we have used the last 100 years to develop it to be much safer than it was.
Yet again, there seems to be a presumption that isn't happening too. It is.Cousin Jack wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 6:00 pm Perhaps the effort should go into continuing that process, rather than inventing a brand new way for cars to kill humans.
You are still missing - or ignoring - the point.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 5:51 pm IIRC Teslas have a detection system, although drivers are obviously able to circumvent it.
Ah, now you're veering into 'trolley bus' territory, with the assumption that the vehicle will commit itself to those 'surprise' situations. Oddly enough, there's a lot of work going on around preventing that. But, obviously, it will happen. If the benchmark was perfect drivers who never ever get caught out, then fair enough. As CJ pointed out, humans are fallible.The Spin Doctor wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:29 pmYou are still missing - or ignoring - the point.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 5:51 pm IIRC Teslas have a detection system, although drivers are obviously able to circumvent it.
If an emergency develops AND the vehicle needs to hand back control to a driver, to bring that driver up to the level of cognitive awareness needed to deal with the emergency takes SECONDS.
And that's far too long on the road.
However you parse it, a system that allows a driver to be hands-off and relies on the driver to remain alert is deeply flawed.
Not a big 'if', a f---ing HUGE 'if', and one most unlikely to be fixed ever.Horse wrote: Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:18 pm If - big 'if' - the system is usually better than a human and can alert the human in sufficient time when required, how would you feel about that?