Pfizer vaccine approved

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weeksy
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by weeksy »

slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:22 pm
weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:53 am
Well yes, but things will take a while to get running to full capacity, you can't just go from 0-200,000 in a week. Getting the infrastructure in place will take a bit of time.
If they'd started on the infrastructure when they started the vaccine research they would have had 10 months to get it in place.
yeah, because until then they were all just sitting round doing bugger all.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by slowsider »

weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:31 pm
slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:22 pm
weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:53 am
Well yes, but things will take a while to get running to full capacity, you can't just go from 0-200,000 in a week. Getting the infrastructure in place will take a bit of time.
If they'd started on the infrastructure when they started the vaccine research they would have had 10 months to get it in place.
yeah, because until then they were all just sitting round doing bugger all.
Front line staff don't do infrastructure planning.
The NHS already had vaccination programmes in place, the only thing different here is the scale.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by cheb »

And the longer the vaccine took to develop the longer they would have had to prepare for administering it. Win win really.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by weeksy »

slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:37 pm
weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:31 pm
slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:22 pm

If they'd started on the infrastructure when they started the vaccine research they would have had 10 months to get it in place.
yeah, because until then they were all just sitting round doing bugger all.
Front line staff don't do infrastructure planning.
The NHS already had vaccination programmes in place, the only thing different here is the scale.
clearly, so what's your point ?

Did they know when it was coming ? How it needed to be handled ? Where it was coming from ? How the infection rate would be when it arrives ? Which areas needed to be first ?

It's so easy sitting at home saying "they should have been better prepared", but i doubt the reality is anything like that. Who will have trained these people ? Would that have been easy with a global pandemic on ?

Lets say they had buildings costing £1,000,000 a week and thousands of staff costing the same, all sitting there waiting and the vaccine had been rejected and not arrived for another 6 months, would you have been OK with that, all the buildings and people sitting there doing nothing for 6 months ?
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by Mr. Dazzle »

millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:50 am
Given they've only managed to administer 140,000 injections in 8 days, less than 20,000 per day, so far it's going to be one hell of a ramp up to achieve 200,000 per day let alone 1,500,000 per day.....
That figure is from a standing start though isnt it. 130,000 jabs from the 200 clinics which got up and running this week. There are thousands more currently standing up...
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by DefTrap »

My youngest (21) just got the results of an antibody test. He has antibodies so likely got it when a stoodent housemate brought it into their house in Bristol and tested positive. He didn't bother getting a nasal test himself at the time, as he was obliged to isolate by proximity to his housemate. He had some very mild cold like symptoms for about a day (probably so mild he wouldn't have put down to anything else) a few days after that, subsequently half a dozen (negative) nasal tests before and after he came back to us for holidays.

TL etc
Fascinating how a disease so deadly to some barely touches others (other than their desire not to pass it on ...)
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by millemille »

weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:53 am
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:50 am
millemille wrote: Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:53 pm

I hope you're right, but I'd be willing to have a bet (£10 to a charity of choice?) that they don't ever get above 200,000 injections administered per day...
Given they've only managed to administer 140,000 injections in 8 days, less than 20,000 per day, so far it's going to be one hell of a ramp up to achieve 200,000 per day let alone 1,500,000 per day.....
Well yes, but things will take a while to get running to full capacity, you can't just go from 0-200,000 in a week. Getting the infrastructure in place will take a bit of time.
Horse wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:57 am
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:50 am Given they've only managed to administer 140,000 injections in 8 days, less than 20,000 per day, so far it's going to be one hell of a ramp up to achieve 200,000 per day let alone 1,500,000 per day.....
I think someone posted that there were limits on how many could be done at the start.

Rather than an average over the eight days, day-by-day figures might give a better indication of the implementation.

FWIW, my mother was phoned several days ago to attend at a centre set up in a a hotel (by a ring road, with alarge car park), so scaling up is happening.
Not disagreeing with either of you, but what you are saying supports the point I was trying to make several pages ago that immunisation is not going to be a quick fix and we have many months, if not years, of restrictions on personal freedom before we can return to normal.

The government, IMO, is not being honest with the public or is being impossibly optimistic about how long immunisation will take.

From their own figures there are 25 million people in the prioritised at risk categories already announced and they have said that they want the majority of these people immunised by March/April. To achieve that over 370,000 injections are going to have be administered, on average, every day between now and the end of April.

And every day they don't achieve that target means every remaining day has to achieve a higher average and so on...

My estimate of 200,000 injections per day is based on my strictly amateur view (although my wife is a health care professional and I have friends who are managers in the NHS, consultants, GP's and paramedics) of the logistics of supply chain, resources, cost, manpower etc. involved in a program like this and our governments woeful inability to deliver pretty anything it has set out to do in relation to COVID. But I think it's realistic.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by gremlin »

Spoke to my mate who's in hossie with the 'Rona at the moment. I told him I had mixed emotions about him still being alive as, much as I'd miss him, if he croaked I'd be one place further up the waiting list to get the vaccine.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

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gremlin wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:56 pm Spoke to my mate who's in hossie with the 'Rona at the moment. I told him I had mixed emotions about him still being alive as, much as I'd miss him, if he croaked I'd be one place further up the waiting list to get the vaccine.
He got any nice bikes to claim Dibs on?
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by Horse »

millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:55 pm
Not disagreeing with either of you, but what you are saying supports the point I was trying to make several pages ago that immunisation is not going to be a quick fix and we have many months, if not years, of restrictions on personal freedom before we can return to normal.

The government, IMO, is not being honest with the public or is being impossibly optimistic about how long immunisation will take.
I don't think anyone, whether in No 10 or general public (caveat - who has actually thought about it) thinks that immunisation of the entire country is going to be swift. Indeed, politicians have been strenuously making the point that restrictions and care will be necessary for a long time.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by Mr. Dazzle »

Yeah what Horse said...if you think the government is trying to say vaccination will fix it all by Christmas you've been watching very different news stories to me :D
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by slowsider »

weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:42 pm
slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:37 pm
weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:31 pm

yeah, because until then they were all just sitting round doing bugger all.
Front line staff don't do infrastructure planning.
The NHS already had vaccination programmes in place, the only thing different here is the scale.
clearly, so what's your point ?

Did they know when it was coming ? How it needed to be handled ? Where it was coming from ? How the infection rate would be when it arrives ? Which areas needed to be first ?

It's so easy sitting at home saying "they should have been better prepared", but i doubt the reality is anything like that. Who will have trained these people ? Would that have been easy with a global pandemic on ?

Lets say they had buildings costing £1,000,000 a week and thousands of staff costing the same, all sitting there waiting and the vaccine had been rejected and not arrived for another 6 months, would you have been OK with that, all the buildings and people sitting there doing nothing for 6 months ?
Are they building a million quid facility to deliver the vaccine now then? I'd missed that.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by weeksy »

slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:23 pm
weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:42 pm
slowsider wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:37 pm

Front line staff don't do infrastructure planning.
The NHS already had vaccination programmes in place, the only thing different here is the scale.
clearly, so what's your point ?

Did they know when it was coming ? How it needed to be handled ? Where it was coming from ? How the infection rate would be when it arrives ? Which areas needed to be first ?

It's so easy sitting at home saying "they should have been better prepared", but i doubt the reality is anything like that. Who will have trained these people ? Would that have been easy with a global pandemic on ?

Lets say they had buildings costing £1,000,000 a week and thousands of staff costing the same, all sitting there waiting and the vaccine had been rejected and not arrived for another 6 months, would you have been OK with that, all the buildings and people sitting there doing nothing for 6 months ?
Are they building a million quid facility to deliver the vaccine now then? I'd missed that.
No, they'll be renting them. They're not just going to do it in a gazebo at the local park are they ? They'll have facilities/locations for storing it, supplying it, trucks, warehouses, staff, lihgting, heating, distribution, they'll have doctors, specialists, nurses, they'll have support staff, admin staff.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by millemille »

Horse wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:18 pm
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:55 pm
Not disagreeing with either of you, but what you are saying supports the point I was trying to make several pages ago that immunisation is not going to be a quick fix and we have many months, if not years, of restrictions on personal freedom before we can return to normal.

The government, IMO, is not being honest with the public or is being impossibly optimistic about how long immunisation will take.
I don't think anyone, whether in No 10 or general public (caveat - who has actually thought about it) thinks that immunisation of the entire country is going to be swift. Indeed, politicians have been strenuously making the point that restrictions and care will be necessary for a long time.
The government has stated that the majority of the 25 million vulnerable/at risk people already prioritised will be immunised by March/April.

Speaking earlier with a friend who's a senior manager at one of the largest NHS trusts outside of London and I asked him for his view on achieving this publicly stated target and he started typing a long and detailed reply and then gave up and typed "In summary: bollocks".
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by weeksy »

millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:55 pm
Horse wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:18 pm
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:55 pm
Not disagreeing with either of you, but what you are saying supports the point I was trying to make several pages ago that immunisation is not going to be a quick fix and we have many months, if not years, of restrictions on personal freedom before we can return to normal.

The government, IMO, is not being honest with the public or is being impossibly optimistic about how long immunisation will take.
I don't think anyone, whether in No 10 or general public (caveat - who has actually thought about it) thinks that immunisation of the entire country is going to be swift. Indeed, politicians have been strenuously making the point that restrictions and care will be necessary for a long time.
The government has stated that the majority of the 25 million vulnerable/at risk people already prioritised will be immunised by March/April.

Speaking earlier with a friend who's a senior manager at one of the largest NHS trusts outside of London and I asked him for his view on achieving this publicly stated target and he started typing a long and detailed reply and then gave up and typed "In summary: bollocks".
well yes... likely complete bollox.. But that's what they're trying to do. The reality is likely to be very different. But what do you suggest ? You can't magically just make it happend because you want to. I expect all countries will miss targets and deadlines, not just ours.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by millemille »

weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:00 pm
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:55 pm
Horse wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:18 pm

I don't think anyone, whether in No 10 or general public (caveat - who has actually thought about it) thinks that immunisation of the entire country is going to be swift. Indeed, politicians have been strenuously making the point that restrictions and care will be necessary for a long time.
The government has stated that the majority of the 25 million vulnerable/at risk people already prioritised will be immunised by March/April.

Speaking earlier with a friend who's a senior manager at one of the largest NHS trusts outside of London and I asked him for his view on achieving this publicly stated target and he started typing a long and detailed reply and then gave up and typed "In summary: bollocks".
well yes... likely complete bollox.. But that's what they're trying to do. The reality is likely to be very different. But what do you suggest ? You can't magically just make it happend because you want to. I expect all countries will miss targets and deadlines, not just ours.
I'm suggesting this government tell the truth for once. I'm suggesting this government stop making grandiose statements that don't stand up to even the lightest of scrutiny. I'm suggesting the government gets real and starts treating people like adults. I'm suggesting this government sets a consistent and honest tone in its communications. I'm suggesting this government takes responsibility for its actions; successes and failures.

I run a business, as I'm sure do many on here, and I can't and don't hide from making a decision and communicating it and then accepting the plaudits if it was right or the brickbats if it was wrong. I'd expect nothing less from my, supposed, elders and betters...
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by weeksy »

millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:16 pm
I'm suggesting this government tell the truth for once. I'm suggesting this government stop making grandiose statements that don't stand up to even the lightest of scrutiny. I'm suggesting the government gets real and starts treating people like adults. I'm suggesting this government sets a consistent and honest tone in its communications. I'm suggesting this government takes responsibility for its actions; successes and failures.
They've not done it for 100+ years, why would they start now ? by 'they' i mean all governments.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by Horse »

weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 1:51 pm
No, they'll be renting them. They're not just going to do it in a gazebo at the local park are they ? They'll have facilities/locations for storing it, supplying it, trucks, warehouses, staff, lihgting, heating, distribution, they'll have doctors, specialists, nurses, they'll have support staff, admin staff.
Part of the staffing will be volunteers, St John are asking everyone with a FAW certificate. I think Gedge mentioned police or fire getting involved.

The 'temporary' covid test centre I went to had portakabins with gazebos attached. Also, I guess they will repurpose flu vaccination sites. However, a complication for vaccination is 15 minute wait in case of allergic reaction (roughly 0.1% chance, similar to other vaccines) which will require space.
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by Horse »

weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:18 pm
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:16 pm
I'm suggesting this government tell the truth for once.
They've not done it for 100+ years, why would they start now ? by 'they' i mean all governments.
Oi. Careful! You get into this politics stuff and the boss'll have the ban hammer out ;)
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Re: Pfizer vaccine approved

Post by weeksy »

Horse wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:22 pm
weeksy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:18 pm
millemille wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:16 pm
I'm suggesting this government tell the truth for once.
They've not done it for 100+ years, why would they start now ? by 'they' i mean all governments.
Oi. Careful! You get into this politics stuff and the boss'll have the ban hammer out ;)
I've already had a warning in the past :) I'm not the only one with a ban-hammer round here :)