weeksy wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:53 am
millemille wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:50 am
millemille wrote: ↑Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:53 pm
I hope you're right, but I'd be willing to have a bet (£10 to a charity of choice?) that they don't ever get above 200,000 injections administered per day...
Given they've only managed to administer 140,000 injections in 8 days, less than 20,000 per day, so far it's going to be one hell of a ramp up to achieve 200,000 per day let alone 1,500,000 per day.....
Well yes, but things will take a while to get running to full capacity, you can't just go from 0-200,000 in a week. Getting the infrastructure in place will take a bit of time.
Horse wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:57 am
millemille wrote: ↑Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:50 am
Given they've only managed to administer 140,000 injections in 8 days, less than 20,000 per day, so far it's going to be one hell of a ramp up to achieve 200,000 per day let alone 1,500,000 per day.....
I think someone posted that there were limits on how many could be done at the start.
Rather than an average over the eight days, day-by-day figures might give a better indication of the implementation.
FWIW, my mother was phoned several days ago to attend at a centre set up in a a hotel (by a ring road, with alarge car park), so scaling up is happening.
Not disagreeing with either of you, but what you are saying supports the point I was trying to make several pages ago that immunisation is not going to be a quick fix and we have many months, if not years, of restrictions on personal freedom before we can return to normal.
The government, IMO, is not being honest with the public or is being impossibly optimistic about how long immunisation will take.
From their own figures there are 25 million people in the prioritised at risk categories already announced and they have said that they want the majority of these people immunised by March/April. To achieve that over 370,000 injections are going to have be administered, on average, every day between now and the end of April.
And every day they don't achieve that target means every remaining day has to achieve a higher average and so on...
My estimate of 200,000 injections per day is based on my strictly amateur view (although my wife is a health care professional and I have friends who are managers in the NHS, consultants, GP's and paramedics) of the logistics of supply chain, resources, cost, manpower etc. involved in a program like this and our governments woeful inability to deliver pretty anything it has set out to do in relation to COVID. But I think it's realistic.