Covid - newsworthy
- mangocrazy
- Posts: 6901
- Joined: Tue Dec 22, 2020 9:58 pm
- Has thanked: 2405 times
- Been thanked: 3630 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Crosseyed and Painless - Talking Heads:
Facts are simple and facts are straight
Facts are lazy and facts are late
Facts all come with points of view
Facts don't do what I want them to
Facts just twist the truth around
Facts are living turned inside out
Facts are getting the best of them
Facts are nothing on the face of things
Facts are simple and facts are straight
Facts are lazy and facts are late
Facts all come with points of view
Facts don't do what I want them to
Facts just twist the truth around
Facts are living turned inside out
Facts are getting the best of them
Facts are nothing on the face of things
There is no cloud, just somebody else's computer.
- irie
- Posts: 2769
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:09 pm
- Location: Noviomagus Reginorum
- Has thanked: 1482 times
- Been thanked: 411 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Is that a fact?
"Truth does not change because it is, or is not, believed by a majority of the people." - Giordano Bruno
- irie
- Posts: 2769
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:09 pm
- Location: Noviomagus Reginorum
- Has thanked: 1482 times
- Been thanked: 411 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Letter to the Telegraph, couldn't agree more.
SIR – As a solicitor recently working for a major public inquiry, I increasingly despair of the Covid Inquiry.
It is vital that we learn whether non-pharmaceutical interventions worked – in particular, lockdowns. Real-world data emerging suggests that the long-term collateral damage outweighs any short-term benefits.
A useful exercise would be to assess lockdown as a “drug” and ask whether, applying National Institute for Health and Care Excellence criteria of quality-adjusted life years, it would have been approved, given that Covid deaths occurred mostly among the elderly – and the side-effects, in terms of health, society and the economy, are incalculable and potentially catastrophic. The inquiry appears uninterested in such issues, however.
Gary Graves
Richmond, Surrey
"Truth does not change because it is, or is not, believed by a majority of the people." - Giordano Bruno
- weeksy
- Site Admin
- Posts: 23421
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 12:08 pm
- Has thanked: 5451 times
- Been thanked: 13087 times
- Yambo
- Posts: 2470
- Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:08 pm
- Location: Self Isolating
- Has thanked: 598 times
- Been thanked: 1647 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
It may well be if the Chinese decide to release another 'new' virus into the population.
- weeksy
- Site Admin
- Posts: 23421
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 12:08 pm
- Has thanked: 5451 times
- Been thanked: 13087 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Would it though, really ? I'm not convinced. Whether the figures support lock-down or not, the government will decide and you/we will be forced to either go with lockdown or ignore it.. It doesn't matter really because no-one actually knows the answers. If lockdown was effective then there would still potentially be a fair few countries who didn't get Covid for ages... but they did... Because you cannot lock down 100% with certainty... Not only can you NOT... but governments won't...
So whether it works or not, is of no importance.
- Count Steer
- Posts: 11809
- Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2021 4:59 pm
- Has thanked: 6376 times
- Been thanked: 4753 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
I don't see how it can't 'work'. If you reduce the number of interactions between people diseases don't spread as quickly/extensively. If I'd stayed home throughout, left parcels on the doorstep for a few hours etc, I wouldn't have caught it.
What exercises people really is they don't think it was 'worth it'. The cost to the economy, the mental issues etc vs the death toll. That was the key factor in 'eat out to spread covid' thing - keep businesses in business vs the inevitable impact on the spread of the disease.
If the enquiry said, definitively, that lockdown saved lives and reduced pressure on the NHS people would still say 'Yebbut, at what cost?'
*shrug*
What exercises people really is they don't think it was 'worth it'. The cost to the economy, the mental issues etc vs the death toll. That was the key factor in 'eat out to spread covid' thing - keep businesses in business vs the inevitable impact on the spread of the disease.
If the enquiry said, definitively, that lockdown saved lives and reduced pressure on the NHS people would still say 'Yebbut, at what cost?'
*shrug*
Doubt is not a pleasant condition.
But certainty is an absurd one.
Voltaire
But certainty is an absurd one.
Voltaire
- irie
- Posts: 2769
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:09 pm
- Location: Noviomagus Reginorum
- Has thanked: 1482 times
- Been thanked: 411 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Yes, it is, so that in the event of future pandemics better informed decisions can be made.
"Truth does not change because it is, or is not, believed by a majority of the people." - Giordano Bruno
- weeksy
- Site Admin
- Posts: 23421
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 12:08 pm
- Has thanked: 5451 times
- Been thanked: 13087 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Can they? you believe that ?
- Horse
- Posts: 11552
- Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:30 am
- Location: Always sunny southern England
- Has thanked: 6191 times
- Been thanked: 5087 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
At what point was it really understood what 'it' was?
Even bland can be a type of character
- irie
- Posts: 2769
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:09 pm
- Location: Noviomagus Reginorum
- Has thanked: 1482 times
- Been thanked: 411 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Given all the cock-ups with PPE, Nightingale hospitals, and dodgy computer models for example then yes, I do believe that being better prepared would be worthwhile.
"Truth does not change because it is, or is not, believed by a majority of the people." - Giordano Bruno
- Taipan
- Posts: 13948
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:48 pm
- Location: Essex Riviera!
- Has thanked: 15955 times
- Been thanked: 10248 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
I think one of the outcomes of the covid enquiry will be the ban on camera use at govt staff parties! In all seriousness, the cost of the furlough scheme and the diminish of tax receipts during lockdown was a proper kick in the fiscals and need to be learnt from.
- wheelnut
- Posts: 2229
- Joined: Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:36 pm
- Has thanked: 907 times
- Been thanked: 1001 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Your certainty on that is based on what evidence?
It was the most palatable of two very unpalatable scenarios.
- gremlin
- Posts: 5929
- Joined: Wed Jul 08, 2020 3:12 pm
- Location: Kent (AKA God's own country)
- Has thanked: 809 times
- Been thanked: 4801 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Well, not from this corner.
Of course, we can all be wise after the event, and I support the Covid inquest in principle, but fuck me, it's fast becoming a witch-hunt.
All aboard the Peckham Pigeon! All aboard!
- DefTrap
- Posts: 4495
- Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2020 8:23 am
- Has thanked: 2260 times
- Been thanked: 2191 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
It would be interesting and useful, but I doubt it's possible because of the sizeable proportion of people who had to carry on despite lockdown and also those that just flouted it (and amongst the latter scant regard for whether they protected themselves with PPE, tested, isolated etc). Any statistics gathered would be so full of holes, an inquiry to sort that out would last decades.irie wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 8:30 am Letter to the Telegraph, couldn't agree more.
SIR – As a solicitor recently working for a major public inquiry, I increasingly despair of the Covid Inquiry.
It is vital that we learn whether non-pharmaceutical interventions worked – in particular, lockdowns. Real-world data emerging suggests that the long-term collateral damage outweighs any short-term benefits.
A useful exercise would be to assess lockdown as a “drug” and ask whether, applying National Institute for Health and Care Excellence criteria of quality-adjusted life years, it would have been approved, given that Covid deaths occurred mostly among the elderly – and the side-effects, in terms of health, society and the economy, are incalculable and potentially catastrophic. The inquiry appears uninterested in such issues, however.
Gary Graves
Richmond, Surrey
The "given that Covid deaths occurred mostly among the elderly" is an unnecessary qualification. My folks, 80s, survived the pandemic - I'm grateful for that. I think we need to remember that lockdown was a last ditch attempt to save the overload on hospitals which was in freefall for a lot of the time.
- mangocrazy
- Posts: 6901
- Joined: Tue Dec 22, 2020 9:58 pm
- Has thanked: 2405 times
- Been thanked: 3630 times
- irie
- Posts: 2769
- Joined: Sat Mar 14, 2020 1:09 pm
- Location: Noviomagus Reginorum
- Has thanked: 1482 times
- Been thanked: 411 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
I think we need to remember that there were two lockdowns, the first in March 2020 and the second in November 2020.DefTrap wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 12:56 pmIt would be interesting and useful, but I doubt it's possible because of the sizeable proportion of people who had to carry on despite lockdown and also those that just flouted it (and amongst the latter scant regard for whether they protected themselves with PPE, tested, isolated etc). Any statistics gathered would be so full of holes, an inquiry to sort that out would last decades.irie wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 8:30 am Letter to the Telegraph, couldn't agree more.
SIR – As a solicitor recently working for a major public inquiry, I increasingly despair of the Covid Inquiry.
It is vital that we learn whether non-pharmaceutical interventions worked – in particular, lockdowns. Real-world data emerging suggests that the long-term collateral damage outweighs any short-term benefits.
A useful exercise would be to assess lockdown as a “drug” and ask whether, applying National Institute for Health and Care Excellence criteria of quality-adjusted life years, it would have been approved, given that Covid deaths occurred mostly among the elderly – and the side-effects, in terms of health, society and the economy, are incalculable and potentially catastrophic. The inquiry appears uninterested in such issues, however.
Gary Graves
Richmond, Surrey
The "given that Covid deaths occurred mostly among the elderly" is an unnecessary qualification. My folks, 80s, survived the pandemic - I'm grateful for that. I think we need to remember that lockdown was a last ditch attempt to save the overload on hospitals which was in freefall for a lot of the time.
"Truth does not change because it is, or is not, believed by a majority of the people." - Giordano Bruno
-
- Posts: 1740
- Joined: Fri May 01, 2020 10:05 pm
- Has thanked: 209 times
- Been thanked: 403 times
- DefTrap
- Posts: 4495
- Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2020 8:23 am
- Has thanked: 2260 times
- Been thanked: 2191 times
Re: Covid - newsworthy
Fair enough, what's your point?
Like I say, it would be interesting. Both times they were emergency reactions to stress on hospitals - how much stress was released by lockdown is arguable (although I'm seeing precious little here). What price would we put on the total failure of the hospital system and the potential knock-on effects of that.?
You might say it's a pointless investigation and easier to work on the obvious solution : more hospitals, more doctors and nurses, more equipment. Oh, and more bodybags.