From a LinkedIn post here (don’t know whether you have to be signed in to read comments):Ryan McMahon wrote: The landscape of marijuana legalization has drastically changed in recent years, with 23 states and Washington, D.C. now allowing its legal personal use. An inevitable question arises: Has the increased accessibility to cannabis correlated with more traffic crashes?
In a detailed study spearheaded by David Straughan and his team, it was observed that states such as California, Maine, Massachusetts, and Nevada, which embraced marijuana legalization in 2016, witnessed either a decline or no change in traffic fatalities over the subsequent three years. This is in contrast to a slight uptick in states where cannabis remains prohibited. A broader study encompassing both U.S. and Canadian data found no statistically significant alterations in crashes post-legalization.
However, data from 2020 and 2021 paints a different picture. These years were marked by the global COVID-19 pandemic, leading to significant behavioral changes in drivers, such as reduced overall traffic but increased instances of high-speed driving due to emptier roads. This coincided with an uptick in traffic fatalities. During these years, substance abuse issues also surged, possibly exacerbating vehicular crashes.
The issue is that the behavioral changes observed during the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021 are not aberrations. During this period, states with legalized marijuana saw a 19.9% rise in fatalities, while the US as a whole experienced an 18.9% increase.
Statistically significant? Not sure.
The author excluded data intentionally after 2019 to try to control for the COVID period's rise in fatal crash rate. The concern is that the data for 2022 mirrors that of 2021 closely.
While marijuana undeniably impacts cognitive functions and motor skills, its exact role in unsafe driving remains ambiguous. The American Journal of Addictions observed that many marijuana-intoxicated drivers exhibited only minor impairments during actual road tests, especially among frequent users.
The undeniable fact remains: alcohol, which is fully legal, plays a role in nearly one-third of all traffic fatalities, while marijuana is banned in many regions.
The takeaway? While the research presented offers a nuanced perspective, a new study that can directly assess drivers' behavior in states post-legalization and its true impact on crash risk could be invaluable. I think this type of research would benefit from actual observational and behavioral data methodologies and moving past relying on correlation.
Last point: It's interesting that the website chose to depict a driver smoking while simultaneously using a phone. Unlike marijuana, we know precisely how much smartphone distraction contributes to crashes. 34% of all crashes detected by CMT involve a driver having their phone in their hand just a minute before impact.
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/activity ... 55233-iUhY
Links to:
https://qz.com/advisor/auto-insurance/h ... less-safe/